BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 85 Overall: (3-3) Overall Strength = 146.51
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Away L * * 131.49 8 34 1A 58 (4-3) Virginia -20.58 -1.99 -5.42
2 09-11-2026 Home W 179.89 73 0 1B 70 (5-2) Richmond 27.82 * 6.08 45.18
3 09-19-2026 Away L * 146.54 31 35 1A 84 (3-4) Vanderbilt -5.54 1.38 1.54
4 09-26-2026 Home W * 147.43 41 31 1A 108 (4-2) Appalachian St -4.65 14.06 14.65
5 10-03-2026 Home W * * 164.19 31 28 1A 29 (4-3) Louisville 12.12 -1.26 -9.12
6 10-10-2026 Home L * * 142.92 14 38 1A 20 (6-1) Wake Forest -9.16 -10.01 -14.84
7 10/23/2026 Away * * 1A 97 (3-4) Stanford 2.40
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 86 (3-4) California 3.14
9 11/07/2026 Home * * 1A 46 (4-2) Duke -8.71
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1A 74 (2-4) Syracuse 0.28
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 38 (3-4) Florida St -17.65
12 11/28/2026 Away * * 1A 36 (4-2) North Carolina -19.24
Averages 152.08 33.0 27.7
Best game: 179.89 = 73 point win over Richmond
Worst game: 131.49 = 26 point loss to Virginia
Team stdev: 17.21